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FIRST BANCSHARES INC /MS/ (FBMS)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2024 EPS of $0.59 declined 5% QoQ and 23% YoY; operating EPS rose to $0.65 on modest core profitability improvement while reported EPS reflected $2.6M in merger-related charges .
  • Net interest margin expanded 7 bps QoQ to 3.33% (core NIM +7 bps to 3.26%), aided by higher loan yields; average cost of deposits rose 5 bps to 1.83% .
  • Loans grew $67.7M (+1.3% QoQ; +4.5% YoY); deposits declined $65.4M QoQ (NIB mix down to 27.4%); credit costs remained modest (NCOs 0.03% annualized) as NPAs edged up to 0.31% of assets .
  • Company reiterated all‑stock merger with Renasant (1.00 RNST share for each FBMS share), boards and shareholders approved; closing targeted H1 2025; $0.25 dividend declared for payment Nov 22, 2024 .
  • Consensus estimates from S&P Global were unavailable via our tool this quarter; we therefore do not characterize a beat/miss versus Street expectations (see Estimates Context).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • NIM inflected higher: NIM +7 bps QoQ to 3.33%; core NIM +7 bps to 3.26% on better asset yields, partially offset by funding costs .
    • Loan growth and stable credit: Loans +$67.7M QoQ; annualized NCOs 0.03% with ACL/loans steady at 1.05% .
    • Securities marks improved: Net unrealized loss on the portfolio declined to $91.6M from $129.0M QoQ (and from $184.9M YoY), improving tangible book trajectory .
    • CEO tone confident on merger synergy and franchise: “Together we create a high performing southeastern franchise…” citing margin expansion and core operating earnings growth .
  • What Went Wrong

    • EPS down YoY and QoQ: Reported EPS fell to $0.59 (vs $0.62 in Q2 and $0.77 in Q3’23) as noninterest income softened and merger costs lifted expenses .
    • Funding pressures persisted: Average cost of deposits rose to 1.83% (from 1.78%); NIB mix fell to 27.4% from 28.2% QoQ; total deposits down $65.4M QoQ .
    • NPAs ticked up: Nonperforming assets/total assets increased to 0.31% (from 0.26% in Q2), with nonaccrual loans up QoQ .

Financial Results

Income statement and profitability (USD millions except per-share and ratios)

MetricQ3 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024
Total Interest Income$85.681 $91.027 $93.561
Net Interest Income$60.704 $57.794 $59.014
Non-interest Income$19.324 $13.319 $12.242
Provision for Credit Losses$1.000 $1.650 $1.000
Non-interest Expense$47.724 $44.089 $46.394
Net Income (to common)$24.360 $19.697 $18.571
Diluted EPS ($)$0.77 $0.62 $0.59
Diluted EPS, Operating ($)$0.76 $0.63 $0.65
NIM (%)3.47% 3.26% 3.33%
Core NIM (%)3.27% 3.19% 3.26%
ROA (Annualized)1.24% 0.99% 0.94%
Efficiency Ratio (GAAP)58.90% 61.14% 64.22%
Cost of Deposits (Avg)1.21% 1.78% 1.83%

Balance sheet and capital

MetricQ3 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024
Total Assets ($B)$7.884 $7.966 $7.966
Total Loans ($B)$5.090 $5.251 $5.319
Total Deposits ($B)$6.480 $6.626 $6.561
NIB Deposits (% of total)30.4% 28.2% 27.4%
Investment Securities ($B)$1.836 $1.771 $1.715
CET1 Ratio (%)12.0% 12.4% 12.5%*
TCE Ratio (%)7.3% 8.3% 8.9%
NPAs / Assets (%)0.28% 0.26% 0.31%
ACL / Loans (%)1.05% 1.05% 1.05%
Annualized NCOs / Loans (%)0.004% 0.036% 0.033%
Dividend per Share ($)$0.23 $0.25 $0.25

*estimated

Loan mix (% of total loans)

CategoryQ3 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024
Commercial, Financial & Ag14.8% 13.5% 13.5%
CRE (Commercial Real Estate)45.5% 46.4% 46.4%
Residential Real Estate25.5% 26.4% 26.9%
Construction (in RE categories above)12.4% 12.2% 11.8%
Consumer1.1% 0.9% 0.8%

Key balance sheet/credit KPIs

KPIQ3 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024
Avg Yield on Earning Assets4.90% 5.14% 5.27%
Cost of Int.-Bearing Liabilities2.05% 2.62% 2.72%
FTE NIM3.52% 3.32% 3.38%
Operating Efficiency Ratio56.06% 60.65% 60.63%
ROATCE, Operating17.17% 12.76% 12.82%

Non-GAAP adjustments commentary: Q3 included $2.592M of acquisition and charter conversion charges; operating EPS was $0.65 vs GAAP $0.59, with reconciliations provided in the release .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Operating Expense run-rateFY 2024 (from Q2 call)~$44M per quarter expected in 2H24 Q3 actual $46.4M (merger-related charges elevated); no new guidance update in Q3 materials
Net Interest Margin2H 2024 (from Q2 call)“Relatively stable/flattish” vs Q2, small puts/takes No explicit Q3 update; NIM +7 bps QoQ in Q3 Maintained commentary (actual better)
DividendQ4 2024Prior quarterly $0.25 $0.25 payable Nov 22, 2024 (record Nov 8) Maintained
Strategic/M&AClose timingRenasant merger targeted H1 2025; approvals obtained; regulatory approvals pending New (July announcement), reiterated

No explicit revenue/earnings guidance was provided in Q3 materials .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: A Q3 2024 earnings call transcript was not available in our document set; we use the Q3 press release/10‑Q for “Current Period” and Q2/Q1 calls for “Previous Mentions”.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1–Q2 2024)Current Period (Q3 2024)Trend
NIM and core NIMQ1: Core NIM down 4 bps, stabilization hoped mid‑year . Q2: Core NIM +9 bps; outlook “flattish” 2H .NIM +7 bps to 3.33%; core NIM +7 bps to 3.26% .Improving QoQ
Deposit costs / mixQ1: Cost of deposits up to 1.78%; competitive specials; NIB 27.4% tied to public funds inflows . Q2: Cost at 1.78%; pressures easing somewhat .Cost rose to 1.83%; NIB fell to 27.4%; deposits −$65M QoQ .Slight pressure
Loan growth / pipelineQ1: Pipelines up ~50%; remix from securities . Q2: +$111M loans; guidance mid‑single‑digit growth .Loans +$67.7M QoQ (+1.3%); +4.5% YoY .Healthy
Securities strategy / marksQ1: Evaluating another restructuring; prior reposition aided yields .AFS/HTM fair value improvement; net unrealized loss to $91.6M (from $129.0M) .Improving
Asset quality / office exposureQ1: Office exposure granular; low delinquencies; stress testing (300 bps) . Q2: NPAs 0.26%; NCOs 0.04% .NPAs 0.31%; NCOs 0.03%; ACL/loans 1.05% .Stable to slightly weaker
Expenses / efficiencyQ1: OpEx discipline; FY guide ~$176–177M . Q2: ~ $44M per qtr in 2H .Q3 OpEx $46.4M including $2.6M merger charges; operating efficiency 60.63% .Temporarily higher (merger costs)
M&A / MergerQ2: Active conversations pre‑deal .Renasant merger announced July; boards & shareholders approved; H1’25 close targeted .Strategic pivot

Management Commentary

  • CEO (Hoppy Cole): “The quarter was characterized by continued strong performance in terms of profitability and growth. Loans increased… core operating earnings increased 2.7% quarter over quarter and our margin expanded six basis points… We look forward to the opportunities… through this strategic partnership with Renasant.”
  • Release highlights emphasized QoQ core earnings growth (+2.7%), NIM and core NIM expansion, and maintained ACL coverage despite modest uptick in NPAs .

Q&A Highlights

  • The Q3 2024 earnings call transcript was not available in our dataset. For context from Q2:
    • Margin outlook “relatively stable” with puts/takes from brokered CDs, public funds runoff and asset yields .
    • Loan growth expected mid‑single digits in 2H; pipelines strong .
    • Expense run-rate guided to ~$44M per quarter in 2H .
    • Potential for additional securities restructuring evaluated opportunistically .

Estimates Context

  • We attempted to retrieve S&P Global consensus EPS and revenue for Q3 2024, but the company mapping was unavailable via our tool at this time; therefore, we cannot compare results to Street consensus for this quarter. If you want, we can source consensus externally or refresh when the mapping is updated.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core earnings quality improved sequentially (operating EPS up; core NIM higher), suggesting underlying spread momentum even as funding costs remain elevated .
  • Funding remains the key swing factor: deposit costs rose and NIB mix slipped; watch competitive pricing and public funds seasonality into Q4 .
  • Credit remains benign with low NCOs and stable ACL coverage; NPAs ticked up but remain modest relative to assets and capital .
  • Securities mark improvement supports tangible capital and optionality for future repositioning; continued runoff at low yields to help remix .
  • The Renasant all‑stock merger is the central medium‑term catalyst, offering scale, cost synergies, and a broader Southeast footprint; closing targeted H1 2025 subject to regulatory approvals .
  • Near-term trading: stock narrative hinges on sustaining NIM expansion and stable credit while limiting funding cost creep; merger milestones and regulatory progress could drive sentiment .
  • Medium-term thesis: a combined platform with improved efficiency and balance sheet mix should enhance returns through the cycle; execution on integration and deposit franchise resiliency are the watch items .

Sources: Q3 2024 8‑K press release and exhibits ; Q3 2024 10‑Q ; Q2 2024 earnings call transcript ; Q1 2024 earnings call transcript .